Why is it in the news?
1. The Chief Minister along with most of the political parties of Tamil Nadu opposed the delimitation of parliamentary constituencies.
2. Different parties asked the centre to extend the 1971 census based delimitation for another 30 years beyond 2026 to ensure fair representation of states that have effectively controlled their population.
3. A joint action committee was formed consisting of MPs of TamilNadu and other southern states. The Chief Minister of TamilNadu said that his Government would take all measures to prevent the implementation of delimitation. Resolution echoed that delimitation would weaken TamilNadu and would be a threat to the federal structure. He also contended that if parliamentary, legislative and Rajya Sabha seats are reduced based on population, it would amount to penalising the southern states which successfully implemented socio-economic welfare of the people and controlled the population.
4. The resolution demanded that if the total number of Lok Sabha is increased, TamilNadu must receive a proportionate increase in constituencies based on the 1971 census. While stating that TamilNadu is not against delimitation, it demanded a clear constitutional amendment ensuring that southern states are not unfairly penalised in seat redistribution.
What is delimitation?
1. It aims to ensure fair representation in Parliament and state legislature by adjusting constituency boundaries in accordance with population changes.
2. It stands for one person, one vote and one value. Our constitution mandates that every MP of Lok Sabha and every MLA of state assembly should represent roughly the same number of voters. Article 82 mandates that after every census an independent delimitation commission would be constituted for the purpose of delimitation of constituencies; that's why, delimitation was conducted in 1952, 1962 and 1972 after the census. However, by the 42nd amendment in 1976, the delimitation was frozen and was extended to 2001. By the 84th amendment the freeze on delimitation was extended up to 2026. Article 82 was amended in 2002 which provides for fresh distribution based on the population data from the 1st census after 2026.
3. The freezing of delimitation resulted in under-representation of UP, Bihar and other northern states while southern states having lower population have higher representation. For example, an MP is elected from a constituency in UP with an average voters of 30 lakhs. On the other hand, an MP is elected from a constituency in Kerala with an average voters of 18 lakhs. Southern states fear that if the delimitation is pursued on the basis of population, the southern states would have lesser representation.
4. Moreover, the southern states contend that they are more advanced in terms of per capita income, contribution to central exchequer, infrastructure, education, healthcare, urbanisation, lower total fertility rate, longer life expectancy. They contend that without addressing these inequalities, delimitation could create distorted forms of inter-state inequalities in India.
5. Supporters of delimitation argue that without delimitation exercise, 1/3rd representation to women in Lok Sabha and State assemblies after 2029 cannot be allotted. Secondly, the population of SC/ST have increased and so the reserve seats for them are also to be increased to give representation to them in proportion to their population. Thirdly, because of the rising tempo of urbanisation, the population has shifted from rural to urban areas. These areas are also to be given representation in proportion to their population.
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Why are southern states nervous?
1. The present composition of Lok Sabha is based upon the 1971 census. Its total number is 543. Every MP in India represented roughly 10.11 lakh population with exception for smaller states.
2. If the base average population is taken for each MP to represent 20 lakh, UP would get 126 seats, Bihar 85 seats, Rajasthan 41 seats, Tamil Nadu 39 seats, Kerala 18 seats in the Lok Sabha of 707 seats. Thus, the southern states would be losers in proportion to the increased number of seats for northern states of UP, Bihar, Rajasthan, MP. At present, there are 132 seats allotted for southern states in the Lok Sabha of 543 members. The Hindi heartland is represented by 225 members. In the changed scenario, if the delimitation is done after 2026 on the basis of population, the Hindi heartland would have a clear cut majority, thereby, shifting the powerbase to north India and the balance between the north and south would be completely destroyed.
The increase in the number of MP seats in Lok Sabha would be very much opposed by the southern states. It should be noted that while there would not be any increase in the number of seats for the southern states, the northern states would have a clear cut majority in the Lok Sabha.
3. Since, BJP has a dominant position in the Hindi heartland. It will get a majority in the Lok Sabha even without the support from southern states in the changed scenario. This position would be very much detested not only by southern states but by the second largest national party, the congress which has a comparatively strong stronghold in southern India. Moreover, the regional parties would also oppose the new delimitation because in the changing scenario, they would lose relevance in national politics.
Dangers of delimitation
1. The new delimitation would cause imbalance between the north and south and the power would shift towards north, which would be very much detested by the southern states, congress party, regional parties and other stakeholders. They may start agitation on this issue.
2. Political analysts are of the view that India is yet to be fully integrated. There are cultural, economic, political and ethnic fault lines. These fault lines have to be bridged before starting new delimitation.
3. There is a difference between Hindi speaking northern states and non-Hindi speaking southern states. There is a wide gap between northern and southern states in terms of economic growth and per capita income. The regional disparities are widening with the passage of every year between the north and south.
4. The dominance of north India politically, has become further accentuated with the arrival of BJP at the centre for the last ten years. The party has complete domination in the Hindi heartland. Critics argue that the new delimitation would further widen the wedge between north and south India which would be detrimental to national unity. This would also impinge upon unity in diversity so much cherished by our constitution.
5. The ethnic strife is going on for the last three years in Manipur and the enforcement agencies have an uphill task to control the situation in a small state having 40 lakh population. The entire north eastern regions erupt in frequent ethnic violence on border issues. Terrorists from foreign countries have been fishing in the troubled waters of various North Eastern states.
6. Gerrymandering and political manipulation - It is feared that the delimitation may cause alteration of constituencies where certain dominant castes or vote banks of ruling party would get benefit, thereby, getting majority in Lok Sabha by manipulation.
Solutions to address the complaints of southern states
1. Strengthening Rajya Sabha - It would be necessary to strengthen Rajya Sabha in financial matters by amending article 110 of our constitution. Every state should get equal representation in the Rajya Sabha irrespective of its population as it obtains in the US where every state sends two members to the senate. This would require amendment in article 80.
2. Article 81, which provides for seat allocation in the Lok Sabha will have to be amended so that every state should get minimum five seats in the Lok Sabha irrespective of their population.
3. No state should have more than 15% representation in the Lok Sabha. In order to avoid dominance.
4. The delimitation should take into account not only the population but the development indices while determining the number of constituencies.
5. Since, the decision of the delimitation commission is final and no writ petition can be filed in the higher judiciary against the decision of the delimitation commission, it is imperative that the selection of the members of delimitation commission should be based upon transparency and impartiality. The selection committee should consist of the Prime Minister, one Cabinet Minister, the Chief Justice of India, the Chief Election Commissioner of India, the leaders of the main opposition parties in the Lok Sabha and the Rajya Sabha.
6. The representation in the Lok Sabha should be fixed in such a way that no one region is dominant politically over other regions. A fine political balance has to be established across the country.
Conclusion
1. A one size fits all approach to delimitation would create regional tensions. A multifactor approach is needed which should be a mix of population, economic contribution, governing efficiency and political sensitivity in determining the number of constituencies for every state in India to ensure national unity in diversity and political stability across the country.